Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.036475 0.042536 0.049208 0.057083 0.066114 0.076133 0.088079
2025-07-27 0.026747 0.034457 0.043731 0.055663 0.070555 0.088474 0.111611
2025-08-03 0.020634 0.029025 0.039937 0.055062 0.075359 0.101517 0.137617
2025-08-10 0.015960 0.024318 0.035980 0.053255 0.077971 0.111788 0.161229
2025-08-17 0.012717 0.020843 0.032926 0.051925 0.080698 0.122198 0.186003
2025-08-24 0.010611 0.018582 0.031137 0.051963 0.085134 0.135252 0.215772
2025-08-31 0.008703 0.016233 0.028757 0.050600 0.087067 0.144580 0.240793
2025-09-07 0.007818 0.015418 0.028680 0.052846 0.094870 0.163644 0.282746
2025-09-14 0.006749 0.014063 0.027437 0.052871 0.098879 0.176894 0.316548
2025-09-21 0.005683 0.012502 0.025559 0.051447 0.100102 0.185483 0.343255
2025-09-28 0.004906 0.011361 0.024270 0.050881 0.102704 0.196570 0.375166
2025-10-05 0.004596 0.011133 0.024707 0.053649 0.111761 0.219912 0.430881
2025-10-12 0.004216 0.010697 0.024691 0.055579 0.119568 0.241982 0.486879
2025-10-19 0.003610 0.009632 0.023192 0.054254 0.120779 0.251821 0.521060
2025-10-26 0.003152 0.008828 0.022131 0.053698 0.123466 0.264726 0.562302
2025-11-02 0.002684 0.007899 0.020633 0.051948 0.123395 0.272108 0.593322
2025-11-09 0.002314 0.007145 0.019418 0.050656 0.124125 0.281123 0.628375
2025-11-16 0.002066 0.006673 0.018810 0.050696 0.127805 0.296577 0.678001
2025-11-23 0.001787 0.006047 0.017708 0.049366 0.128154 0.304910 0.713306
2025-11-30 0.001693 0.005956 0.017994 0.051563 0.137072 0.332770 0.793046
2025-12-07 0.001523 0.005588 0.017471 0.051588 0.140730 0.349204 0.849071
2025-12-14 0.001323 0.005080 0.016469 0.050196 0.140700 0.357210 0.886896
2025-12-21 0.001176 0.004714 0.015811 0.049643 0.142724 0.370151 0.937047